As the season comes to an end we see the teams fighting for their lives and not stepping down from a battle. Missouri, Oklahoma State and Baylor all got the wins they needed to stay in the talk for bubble teams. Arkansas got a very nice win over Auburn to add to their resume, however, it is another home win for them. St. Bonaventure survived what could have been a very devastating loss and Rhode Islandgot pounded at home. They will definitely take a hit from this and possibly drop a seed line at least. Mississippi State didn’t help there chances by getting blown out by Tennessee and are in big danger of not having a shot at all for the tournament. Miami finally got the win they were looking for with a crazy ending as they took down North Carolina and Oklahoma suffered another loss as they continue to spiral the wrong direction. Unfortunately, I will most likely be unable to give you an updated seed list until Friday this week but I will keep you posted on everything that is happening.

Wednsday Bracket Impact Games:

LSU vs.  South Carolina, Providence vs. Xavier, Pittsburgh vs. Notre Dame, Central Connecticut State vs. Wagner, Ole Miss vs. Kentucky,  Temple vs. Connecticut, Villanova vs. Seton Hall, Texas A&M vs. Georgia, Houston vs. SMU, Syracuse vs. Boston College, Florida State vs. Clemson, Butler vs. St. John’s, Nevada vs. UNLV

Conference Tournaments:

Big Ten, Northeast, Ohio Valley

 

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Kansas took home the Big 12 by getting by a pesky Texas. Texas did not fall from this loss and looked pretty good especially playing shorthanded. Texas Tech continues to struggle as they fell to West Virginia. I feel like the top 16 are pretty locked in place but there will definitely be interesting to see if Kentucky, Ohio State, Gonzaga can make a case if the upper teams struggle. Florida Gulf Coast continues their quest to win the A-Sun, and Marquette escaped at Georgetown. Virginia Tech moved up with a big win over Duke. This will make it a little more difficult for Duke to take over a 1 seed but the opportunity is still there. Championship Week continues with the Patriot League and Big South tournaments starting.

Tuesday Bracket Impact Games:

Saint Joseph’s vs. Rhode Island, Tennessee vs. Mississippi State, Akron vs. Buffalo, Oklahoma State vs. Iowa State, Vermont vs. Maine, Florida vs. Alabama, Missouri vs. Vanderbilt, Davidson vs. St. Bonaventure, DePaul vs. Creighton, Miami vs North Carolina, Auburn vs. Arkansas

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Last Four In: Saint Mary’s, St. Bonaventure, USC, Marquette

First Four Out: Louisville, Washington, Oklahoma State, LSU

Next Five Out: Mississippi State, Syracuse, Georgia, UCLA, Utah

Still Considered: Notre Dame, Temple, South Carolina, Nebraska, Oregon

Conference Breakdown: ACC (8), SEC (8),Big 12 (8),  Big East (7), Pac-12 (3), Big Ten (4),  AAC (3),  WCC (2), A-10 (2)

With two weeks to go in the season and 19 spots up for grabs. We take a look at the 33 teams that are fighting for the right to be in the tournament. It’s simple for everybody, win out and you’re in. However, we know how difficult that actually can be. With a few games left in the regular season and the conference tournaments approaching it will be a real dog fight to determine what each team needs to do to be dancing in March.

*Quality wins = top 20 in my rankings, hurtful loses = teams not considered for tournament*

 

Arizona State, 19-9 (7-9)
Current Prediction: 8 Seed
Quality Wins: Xavier, at Kansas
Hurtful Losses: at Colorado, at Stanford, at Oregon State
Remaining Games: California, Stanford
Arizona State started the season red hot but once Pac-12 play started the fire was put out and the team was completely humbled. Arizona State looks like they are solidly in the tournament. They need to finish Pac-12 play with wins over Cal and Stanford and avoid any bad losses in the Pac-12 tournament.

Missouri, 18-11 (8-8)
Current Prediction: 8 Seed
Quality Wins: Tennessee, Kentucky
Hurtful Losses: Ole Miss, Illinois
Remaining Games: at Vanderbilt, Arkansas
Mizzou has had an up and down season and now may even have their potential star player back in Michael Porter Jr.. The tigers are on a three game losing streak and are certainly putting themselves in potential danger of missing out. The Tigers need to get back to winning and can’t afford losing to Vanderbilt or potential SEC tournament match-up.

Oklahoma, 17-11 (7-9)
Current Prediction: 8 seed
Quality Wins: Kansas, at Wichita State, Texas Tech
Hurtful Losses: at Iowa State
Remaining Games: at Baylor, Iowa State
Oklahoma is another team that started the season red hot and were being considered for a one seed. However, going 5-10 in their last 15 games has put a terrible damper on their season. The only positive is that these losses all came in the Big 12 where every team is pretty good. Oklahoma can protect themselves by winning over Baylor and Iowas State. I don’t see a chance for them to fall out of the picture because they really won’t have any terrible losses.

Houston, 22-6 (12-4)
Current Prediction: 8 Seed
Quality Wins: Cincinnati, Wichita State
Hurtful Losses: at Memphis, at Tulane, Drexel
Remaining Games: at SMU, UConn
Houston had a chance to be tied atop the American at the end of the regular season but a loss at Memphis has turned that into just a dream. What’s holding Houston back is the rough start to the season. The Cougars should be playing into March and will look to get another big win over Cincinnati or Wichita State.

Arkansas, 20-9 (9-7)
Current Prediction: 9 seed
Quality Wins: Tennessee
Hurtful Losses: None
Remaining Games: Auburn, at Missouri
Arkansas has struggled against other bubble teams and on the road. They have an opportunity to move up nicely by finishing the season with Auburn and Missouri. The Razorbacks can be a scary team and will most likely be in.

Florida State, 19-9 (8-8)
Current Prediction: 9 seed
Quality Wins: North Carolina, Clemson
Hurtful Losses: at Boston College, at Wake Forest
Remaining Games: at Clemson, Boston College
Florida State has done enough to get in but they still have a chance to fall out if they can’t win the little games. BC will be the first challenge and more may arise in the ACC tournament. The Seminoles can move up as well being in the ACC with quality chances for wins as the tournament starts.

Butler, 19-10 (9-7)
Current Prediction: 9 seed
Quality Wins: Villanova, Ohio State
Hurtful Losses: at Maryland, Georgetown
Remaining Games: at St. John’s, at Seton Hall
The Bulldogs have put themselves in a good position and need to just finish out the season. The can’t afford a loss at the surging Red Storm. And then should be in a nice position entering the Big East tournament to play quality teams to either help themselves or to at least avoid bad losses. The next game is the key for the Bulldogs.

Miami, 20-8 (9-7)
Current Prediction: 9 seed
Quality Wins: None
Hurtful Losses: at Boston College, at Georgia Tech
Remaining Games: at North Carolina, Virginia Tech
Miami has done what it needs to do and has wins over all of the other ACC bubble teams which is what is keeping them in. Getting a win at North Carolina would be huge and give them that signature win that they are looking for if not the Hurricanes will need to rely on the tournament to get that win that they are in need of.

Virginia Tech, 20-9 (9-7)
Current Prediction: 9 seed
Quality Wins: at Virginia, North Carolina, Clemson
Hurtful Losses: Saint Louis
Remaining Games: Duke, at Miami
Virginia Tech has surged as of late and put themselves in a great position. The Hokies could do with a few more buble team wins but will have a good chance to strengthen their seed with good play in the ACC tournament.

NC State, 20-9 (10-6)
Current Prediction: 10 seed
Quality Wins: Duke, at North Carolina, Clemson, Arizona
Hurtful Losses: UNC Greensboro, Northern Iowa
Remaining Games: at Georgia Tech, Louisville
The Wolfpack has been able to contend with some of the best this year, but seem to struggle against sub par opponents. If they want to stay in they need to really focus and get the wins they can achieve while still battling against the top echelon of the ACC.

Alabama, 17-12 (8-8)
Current Prediction: 10 seed
Quality Wins: Auburn, Rhode Island, Tennessee
Hurtful Losses: UCF, at Ole Miss, at Vanderbilt, Minnesota
Remaining Games: Florida, at Texas A&M
Alabama has one of the most interesting resumes around. They have some solid wins but they also have some losses that really hurt. They have some great bubble team wins as well and are just hoping to avoid anymore bad losses. They should have that chance to avoid anything in the SEC tournament which might actually help keep them in the field.

Kansas State, 20-9 (9-7)
Current Prediction: 10 seed
Quality Wins: None
Hurtful Losses: Tulsa
Remaining Games: at TCU, Baylor
K-State hasn’t been able to find the winning side against the top teams in the Big 12 but have stayed cleared of losses to the middle of the pack and lower Big 12 teams. Their best win is over TCU and their lone blemish is a loss to Tulsa in early December. If the Wildcats can stay strong against the other Big 12 bubble teams and maybe steal a win in the Big 12 tournament they should be safely in.

Providence, 18-11 (9-7)
Current Prediction: 10 seed
Quality Wins: Xavier, Villanova
Hurtful Losses: Minnesota, DePaul, at Massachusetts
Remaining Games: at Xavier, St. John’s
Providence would be safely in if they could have avoided losses to so many teams not in tournament contention. The Friars have handled teams at home and have struggled on the road leaving the door open and are in a scary place to be pushed out. Providence has some great wins over other Big East tournament teams but has struggled to stay consistent throughout the season. They have a chance to finish the season on a high note but much of their hopes will come down to Big East tournament success.

Texas, 17-12 (7-9)
Current Prediction: 11 seed
Quality Wins: Texas Tech
Hurtful Losses: None
Remaining Games: at Kansas, West Virginia
Texas has the most opportunities to take a big step and stay within the field. With Kansas and West Virginia left on the schedule quality wins are able to happen. Where Texas is hurting is against fellow bubble teams. They were unable to come away with wins against the middle and lower end of the Big 12 which has left them where they are today. The Longhorns have the most opportunities of anybody to really come away with some big wins and keep their tournament hopes alive but may struggle to do so.

Baylor, 17-12 (7-9)
Current Prediction: 11 seed
Quality Wins: Kansas, Texas Tech
Hurtful Losses: at Iowa State
Remaining Games: Oklahoma, at Kansas State
Baylor has been strong of late and have surged back into the field and look to keep it that way. Baylor like all the other Big 12 teams have plenty of opportunities to pick up wins and don’t really have to worry about getting a bad loss. Kansas City will be a hopping place come the Big 12 tournament with so much on the line for everyone.

St. Mary’s, 27-4 (16-2)
Current Prediction: 11 seed, last four in
Quality Wins: at Gonzaga
Hurtful Losses: at San Francisco, Washington State
Remaining Games: WCC Tournament
The record doesn’t say it all. Saint Mary’s, like usual, have played a ridiculously easy schedule and now find themselves on the bubble. It’s plain and simple for the Gaels, make it to the WCC final and don’t lose to anyone expect Gonzaga. Even this might not be enough and they may need to win the tournament to get in.

St. Bonaventure, 22-6 (12-4)
Current Prediction: 11 seed, last 4 in
Quality Wins: Rhode Island
Hurtful Losses: at Davidson, at Dayton, Niagara, at Saint Joseph’s
Remaining Games: Davidson, at Saint Louis
The tale of two teams has been the season for the Bonnies. Started off with a awful loss then recovered only to start the A-10 2-6. Now they have rattled off 10 straight victories including a win over Rhode Island. If the can finish the season without a loss and make the championship game of the A-10 tournament they should be in but it wouldn’t hurt to be able to win it. The only loss they can afford is to Rhode Island or their tournament hopes may be shattered.

USC, 21-9 (12-5)
Current Prediction: 11 seed, last 4 in
Quality Wins: None
Hurtful Losses: at Stanford, at SMU, Princeton
Remaining Games: UCLA
With their best win of the season being at Utah, USC is going to be sweating it out come selection Sunday. USC needs this upcoming win over UCLA and really needs to get a few wins in the Pac-12 tournament to feel comfortable. Some Potential match-ups between Arizona, and Arizona State will be much needed.

Marquette, 16-12 (7-9)
Current Prediction: 11 seed, last 4 in
Quality Wins: None
Hurtful Losses: at St. John’s, at DePaul
Remaining Games: at Georgetown, Creighton
The Wins are there for Marquette with a pair of wins over Seton Hall and a win at Creighton. They just need to find a signature win and they can breathe a little easier. If Marquette loses to Georgetown or gets bumped early in the Big East they may end up on the outside looking in.

Louisville, 19-10 (9-7)
Current Prediction: First 4 out
Quality Wins: None
Hurtful Losses: None
Remaining Games: Virginia, at NC State
The Cardinals have some pleasant wins over other bubble opponents but just haven’t been able to get those wins against the big guns. The Cardinals have some chances coming up and even if not coming away with a win if they can avoid any bad losses they may be able to sneak in depending on what the rest of the bubble does.

Washington, 19-10 (9-7)
Current Prediction: First 4 out
Quality Wins: at Kansas, Arizona
Hurtful Losses: Stanford (x2), at Oregon State
Remaining Games: Oregon State, Oregon
The Huskies just haven’t been able to win against bubble opponents. Their win at Kansas says a lot but they may have lost too many games to allow that win to stand on its own. Washington could use some wins and can’t afford anymore loses to bubble or non tournament teams. They may get a chance for another win in the Pac-12 tournament but can’t rely on it.

Oklahoma State, 16-13 (6-10)
Current Prediction: First 4 out
Quality Wins: at Kansas, Texas Tech, at West Virginia
Hurtful Losses: None
Remaining Games: at iowa State, Kansas
Oklahoma State has fought hard and just hasn’t been able to make it into the field. They have some great wins and have avoided the bad losses but couldn’t get by the other bubble teams in the Big 12. The Cowboys are not out of it though as they will have plenty of chances to push for a tournament berth.

LSU, 16-12 (7-9)
Current Prediction: First 4 out
Quality Wins: None
Hurtful Losses: at Vanderbilt, SFA
Remaining Games: at South Carolina, Mississippi State
LSU is sitting in a good spot with some great bubble wins and other tournament locks. However they can’t get it done against the best and have taken some hard losses. LSU will need to win out the regular season and make a good run to make a push for the bracket.

Mississippi State, 21-8 (9-7)
Current Prediction: Next 4 out
Quality Wins: None
Hurtful Losses: at Ole Miss, at Vanderbilt
Remaining Games: Tennessee, at LSU
The Bulldogs are in the same place as LSU, not enough quality wins. They have wins over other bubble teams and really have a nice record overall but will be in a dogfight to earna place as an at-large bid. If they can win over Tennessee they may jump quite a bit and then need a few wins in the SEC as well.

Syracuse 18-11 (7-9)
Current Prediction: Next 4 out
Quality Wins: None
Hurtful Losses: at Wake Forest, at Georgia Tech
Remaining Games: at Boston College, Clemson
Syracuse has even less than Mississippi State. One win for any of these teams can really propel them forward. A loss to a non-tournament team will be devastating. Syracuse has the chance for both of those as they close out ACC play. They need to win and make it a few rounds in the ACC tournament.

Georgia, 16-12 (7-9)
Current Prediction: Next 4 out
Quality Wins: Tennessee
Hurtful Losses: San Diego State, at Vanderbilt
Remaining Games: Texas A&M, at Tennessee
Georgia is in a tough place and may not be able to make it to the dance. They have a tough road ahead of them and need to win, win, win. Gaining a win over Texas A&M and Tennessee will be a start and won’t hurt if they lose but 14 losses on the season certainly won’t look good to the committee.

UCLA, 19-10 (10-7)
Current Prediction:Next 4 out
Quality Wins: Kentucky, at Arizona
Hurtful Losses: Colorado (x2), at Stanford, at Oregon State
Remaining Games: at USC
UCLA just hasn’t been able to get it done against the weak Pac-12. With so many losses to bubble teams and teams won’t be in the tournament is going to be hard to come back from. A must win over USC and need to get far in the Pac-12 tournament.

Utah, 18-10 (10-7)
Current Prediction: Next next 4 out
Quality Wins: None
Hurtful Losses: at Colorado, at BYU, UNLV
Remaining Games: Colorado
Utah has done a good job against the bubble teams of the Pac-12 but haven’t found a win against the top dogs. While doing this they have had some tough losses and needs to finish the season with a win over Colorado and make it far in the Pac-12 to make the big dance.

Notre Dame, 17-12 (7-9)
Current Prediction: Next next 4 out
Quality Wins: Wichita State
Hurtful Losses: Ball State, Indiana, at Georgia Tech
Remaining Games: Pittsburgh, at Virginia
Notre Dame is a different team without Bonzie Colson and it will be interesting to see how the committee sees them. They have kept themselves in the picture without him and may be able to sneak in with a few more wins.

Temple, 16-12 (8-8)
Current Prediction: Next next four out
Quality Wins: Auburn, Clemson, Wichita State
Hurtful Losses: at UCF, Memphis, Tulane, at LaSalle, George Washington
Remaining Games: at UConn, at Tulsa
Temple started the season out great but was unable to hold form in the AAC. If Temple can get a win over Cincinnati and Wichita State in the AAC tournament they may have a chance but if not they will most likely be on the outside looking in.

South Carolina, 15-14 (6-10)
Current Prediction: Next next 4 out
Quality Wins: Auburn, Kentucky
Hurtful Losses: Illinois State, at Ole Miss
Remaining Games: LSU, at Auburn
With 14 losses on the season the best bet is for the SEC tournament title. However, if the Gamecocks can grab and Auburn, Tennessee, and Kentucky win they may have a shot.

Nebraska, 22-9 (13-5)
Current Prediction: Bubble
Quality Wins: None
Hurtful Losses: UCF, at Penn State, at St. John’s, at Illinois
Remaining Games: Big Ten Tournament
Nebraska needs Michigan to win their first Big Ten game then beat Michigan and Beat Michigan State. This still may not be enough but they could absolutely win out and take the Big Ten title.

Oregon, 19-10 (9-7)
Current Prediction: Bubble
Quality Wins: Arizona
Hurtful Losses: at Stanford, UConn, at Oregon State
Remaining Games: at Washington State, at Washington
Oregon needs to make a run in the tournament and cannot afford a loss to Washington State. If they can make the semi-finals they have a possibility.

Selection Sunday is less than two weeks away and the season is really getting down to the nitty gritty. The Bubble has slowly decreased in size but is not anywhere close enough to feel comfortable. The Regular Season is wrapping up and Conference Tournaments start today. Virginia, Villanova, and Xavier have all pretty much solidified their spot as a 1 seed in the tournament. They hold their own destiny and this could change but the likelihood of that seems very slim. Kansas is in a good position to hold onto that last spot and really only seems to be challenged by Duke, Auburn, Purdue, and Michigan State. If Kansas stumbles down the stretch and Duke continues to rack up wins I could see them sliding their way into a 1 seed. Michigan State needs to hope for the best possible opponents in the Big Ten tournament to have a shot. They have a chance to play Michigan and either Ohio State or Purdue. This would give them the wins that they are lacking however, I’m not sure it will be enough. Purdue can also take a few nice victories in the tournament and move up if the match-ups are there. Auburn needs more solid victories as well. I think they are a long shot but if they can finish the season unscathed and win the SEC tournament they could possibly have a chance.

Monday Bracket Impact Games:

Duke vs. Virginia Tech, Marquette vs. Georgetown, Texas vs. Kansas, Texas Tech vs. West Virginia

Conference Tournament Impact Games:

A-Sun: 8. USC Upstate vs. 1. Florida Gulf Coast

Stay up to date by following the Bracket Matrix

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Last Four In: Saint Mary’s, St. Bonaventure, USC, Marquette

First Four Out: Louisville, Washington, Oklahoma State, LSU

Next Five Out: Mississippi State, Syracuse, Georgia, UCLA, Utah

Still Considered: Notre Dame, Temple, South Carolina, Nebraska, Oregon

Conference Breakdown: ACC (8), SEC (8),Big 12 (8),  Big East (7), Pac-12 (3), Big Ten (4),  AAC (3),  WCC (2), A-10 (2)

 

Seed list has been scrubbed and already needs it again. Games played on 2/24 were not included in this scrubbing but will be included for tomorrow.

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Last Four In: Baylor, Washington, St. Bonaventure, USC

First Four Out: LSU,  Marquette, Oklahoma State, UCLA

Next Five Out: Utah, Syracuse, Louisville, Mississippi State, Georgia

Still Considered: Notre Dame, Temple, Boise State, South Carolina, Nebraska, SMU, Iowa State, Boston College, Western Kentucky, Oregon, Penn State

Conference Breakdown: ACC (8), SEC (8),Big 12 (8),  Big East (6), Pac-12 (4), Big Ten (4),  AAC (3),  WCC (2), A-10 (2)

Texas Tech and Clemson both went on the road and were unable to come away with a win. It looks like Kansas will win another Big 12 Title and Texas Tech doesn’t look like they will get a chance to move to the 1 line. Everything else pretty much held up. Keep an eye out for a post coming up where I will talk about each bubble team in hopes to make my thinking of them a little clearer. This by far has been one of the more difficult bubble in a while and even teams i think are locked in are difficult to rank and seed.

Thursday Bracket Impact Games:

Purdue vs. Illinois, Rider vs. Monmouth, Wagner vs. Central Connecticut State, Florida Gulf Coast vs. Stetson, Elon vs. Charleston, Connecticut vs. Cincinnati, North Dakota State vs. Western Illinois, Charlotte vs. Western Kentucky, Louisiana vs. Troy, Chicago State vs. New Mexico State, Belmont vs. Jacksonville State, Gonzaga vs. San Diego, UCLA vs. Utah, Washington vs. Stanford, Arizona vs. Oregon State, Houston vs. Memphis, Pepperdine vs. Saint Mary’s, Santa Barbara vs. UC Irvine, Arizona State vs. Oregon

Stay up to date with the Bracket Matrix!

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Last Four In: St. Bonaventure, UCLA, Texas, USC

First Four Out: Baylor, LSU, Louisville,  Marquette

Next Five Out: Syracuse, Utah, Oklahoma State, Mississippi State, Georgia

Still Considered: Notre Dame, Temple, Boise State, South Carolina, Nebraska, SMU, Iowa State, Boston College, Western Kentucky

Conference Breakdown: ACC (8), SEC (8),Big 12 (7),  Big East (6), Pac-12 (5), Big Ten (4),  AAC (3),  WCC (2), A-10 (2)

Tuesday brought another night of excitement as it always does. Butler got a much needed win at home over Creighton and look to be a little more likely to be a tournament team. West Virginia took control over Baylor. Mississippi State got a great win at Texas A&M. Mississippi State is right there and with a few more wins could earn there way into the field. Kentucky looked good at Arkansas and came away with a win while Missouri took a loss at home to Ole Miss that stings a little.

Wednesday Bracket Impact Games:

Seton Hall vs. Providence, Xavier vs. Georgetown, Georgia vs. South Carolina, North Carolina vs. Syracuse, Clemson vs. Virginia Tech, SMU vs. East Carolina, Binghamton vs. Vermont, Navy vs. Bucknell, Georgia Tech vs. Virginia, Nicholls State, vs. McNeese State, TCU vs. Iowa State, Loyola vs. Southern Illinois, St. John’s vs Marquette, Alabama vs. Auburn, DePaul vs. Villanova, Boise State vs. Colorado State, Florida vs. Tennessee, Louisville vs. Duke, Texas vs. Kansas State, San Jose State vs. Nevada, USC vs. Colorado

Keep watching by following the Bracket Matrix!

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Last Four In: Texas, Louisville, St. Bonaventure, UCLA

First Four Out: USC, LSU, Baylor,  Marquette

Next Five Out: Syracuse, Utah, Oklahoma State, Mississippi State, Georgia

Still Considered: Notre Dame, Temple, Boise State, South Carolina, Nebraska, SMU, Iowa State, Boston College, Western Kentucky

Conference Breakdown: ACC (9), SEC (8),Big 12 (7),  Big East (6), Big Ten (4), Pac-12 (4), AAC (3),  WCC (2), A-10 (2)